** WTIN20 DEMS 180621 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK -------------------------------- DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 18-05-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 15 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPZ21 KNHC 180826 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005 0900Z WED MAY 18 2005 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 94.4W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 11.2N 93.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.0N 92.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.0N 91.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 85.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 20.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 94.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPZ41 KNHC 180826 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED MAY 18 2005 THE OVERALL PATTERN IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTER AND A WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND CONTINUES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 40 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND ADRIAN IS MOVING OVER A WARM OCEAN OF 30 DEGREES CELSIUS OR HIGHER. THEN... GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ADRIAN COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL...AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL. WEAKENING DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN AND HIGH SHEAR IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER. THE FORECAST KEEPS ADRIAN AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEYOND 48 HOURS. ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 045 DEGREES AT 6 KNOTS... EMBEDDED WITHIN A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ADRIAN SHOULD THEN CONTINUE ON THE SAME GENERAL TRACK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. IN FACT...GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT BRINGING A WEAKENED ADRIAN ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WINDS SHOULD BE NEARING THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. THEREFORE...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS. ADRIAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE STORM IS ALREADY PRODUCING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THAT REGION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 10.8N 94.1W 40 KT 12HR VT 18/1800Z 11.2N 93.5W 45 KT 24HR VT 19/0600Z 12.0N 92.4W 50 KT 36HR VT 19/1800Z 13.0N 91.0W 60 KT 48HR VT 20/0600Z 14.0N 89.0W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 21/0600Z 17.0N 85.0W 30 KT...BACK OVER WATER 96HR VT 22/0600Z 20.0N 81.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 23/0600Z 23.5N 74.5W 30 KT $$ ** WTPZ31 KNHC 180826 *** TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED MAY 18 2005 ... ADRIAN BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...COULD BRING TORRENTIAL RAINS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...OUTER RAINBANDS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ADRIAN. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...10.8 N... 94.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 180851 *** TCVAT1 WTNT81 KNHC 180900 TCVAT1 ADRIAN WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM PDT WED MAY 18 2005 .TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN ATTN...WFO... ... ** WTPN31 PHNC 181000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ADRIAN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 10.5N6 94.4W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 94.4W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.2N4 93.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 92.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.0N4 91.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.0N5 89.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 85.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 81.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.5N0 74.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181000Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 94.1W4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 181000 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ADRIAN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 10.5N6 94.4W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 94.4W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.2N4 93.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 92.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.0N4 91.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.0N5 89.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS ** WTPN31 PHNC 181000 RRB *** --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 85.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 81.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.5N0 74.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181000Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 94.1W4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 181000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ADRIAN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 10.5N6 94.4W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 94.4W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.2N4 93.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 92.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.0N4 91.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.0N5 89.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 85.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 81.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.5N0 74.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181000Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 94.1W4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// ** WTPZ31 KNHC 181140 *** TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED MAY 18 2005 ...RARE TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES TOWARD CENTRAL AMERICA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...AND FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...OUTER RAINBANDS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ADRIAN. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...10.9 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$