** WTPH RPLL 161800 ***
TTT WARNING 04

AT 0600 18 MAY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON
SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 10.0N 127.9E MODERATE TO ROUGH
SEAS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1006 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 15MPS NEAR CENTER
13MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST TO REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY FORECAST POSITIONS AT 171800 10.1N 127.6E
AT 181800 10M2N 127.2E AND AT 191800 10.3N 126.8E ALL
SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY
WEATHER REPORTS OT WEATHER MANILA PD=


** WTPN21 PGTW 162230 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFORCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/162221ZMAY2005//
RMKS/
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152221Z MAY 05//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 152230)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.5N3 129.0E2 TO 10.6N7 125.4E2
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
161730Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N1
127.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5
128.5E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2N1 127.9E9, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM
EAST OF TANDAG, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY
REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION WEST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRC-
ULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MOD-
ERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUS-
TAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21
PGTW 162230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVEL-
OPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
REMAINS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
172230Z5.
//