** WTSR20 WSSS 120600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO30 FMEE 121206 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/18/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 18 (EX-JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/12 AT 1200 UTC : 28.0S / 67.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 120 SE: 110 SO: 100 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/13 00 UTC: 28.6S/69.8E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/04/13 12 UTC: 29.1S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/04/14 00 UTC: 29.6S/74.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/14 12 UTC: 29.9S/76.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/15 00 UTC: 30.8S/78.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/15 12 UTC: 31.4S/80.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:= ** WTIO22 FMEE 121207 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 029/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 12/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 18 (EX-JULIET) 982 HPA POSITION: 28.0S / 67.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/13 AT 00 UTC: 28.6S / 69.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/13 AT 12 UTC: 29.1S / 72.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPIOCAL STRUCUTRE, WITH STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS, FILL UP IN 48 TO 72 HOURS NEAR 30S= ** WTIO30 FMEE 121206 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/18/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 18 (EX-JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/12 AT 1200 UTC : 28.0S / 67.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 120 SE: 110 SO: 100 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/13 00 UTC: 28.6S/69.8E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/04/13 12 UTC: 29.1S/72.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/04/14 00 UTC: 29.6S/74.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/14 12 UTC: 29.9S/76.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/15 00 UTC: 30.8S/78.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/15 12 UTC: 31.4S/80.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: ** WTIO22 FMEE 121207 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 029/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 12/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 18 (EX-JULIET) 982 HPA POSITION: 28.0S / 67.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/13 AT 00 UTC: 28.6S / 69.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/13 AT 12 UTC: 29.1S / 72.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPIOCAL STRUCUTRE, WITH STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS, FILL UP IN 48 TO 72 HOURS NEAR 30S ** WTIO21 FMEE 121207 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 12/04/2005 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 029/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 12/04/2005 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 18 (EX-JULIET) 982 HPA POSITION: 28.0S / 67.8E (VINGT-HUIT DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES HUIT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST-SUD-EST 12 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 400 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 240 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 270 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 13/04/2005 A 00 UTC: 28.6S / 69.8E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 13/04/2005 A 12 UTC: 29.1S / 72.1E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME PRESENTE MAINTENANT UNE STRUCTURE EXTRA-TROPICALE, AVEC UN ANNEAU DE VENT FORT LOIN DU CENTRE S'ELARGISSANT. IL EST PREVU SUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE VERS L'EST- SUD-EST, EN SE COMBLANT PROGRESSIVEMENT DANS LES PROCHAINES 48 A 72 HEURES A PROXIMITE DE 30S.