** WTSR20 WSSS 111800 ***
NO STORM WARNING=


** WTIO22 FMEE 120008 ***
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2005
AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 027/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY   12/04/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 18 (JULIET) 978 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.4S / 64.8E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-EAST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER,
EXTENDING UP
 TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS
FROM
THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE  SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM
RADIUS
 FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/04/12 AT 12 UTC:
27.7S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2005/04/13 AT 00 UTC:
28.8S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
JULIET IS WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED
TO KEEP ON WEAKENING BUT STRONG WINDS ARE ABOUT TO EXTEND GRADUALLY
FAR
FROM THE CENTRE.=


** WTIO30 FMEE 120008 ***

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 27/18/20042005
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 18  (JULIET)

2.A POSITION 2005/04/12 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.4S / 64.8E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/4.0 /W  3.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 978 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 160   SE: 330   SO: 330   NO: 160
50 KT       NE: 070   SE: 110   SO: 110   NO: 070

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/04/12 12 UTC: 27.7S/66.1E, MAX WIND=060KT, BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2005/04/13 00 UTC: 28.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2005/04/13 12 UTC: 29.3S/69.5E, MAX WIND=050KT.
48H: 2005/04/14 00 UTC: 30.3S/72.3E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2005/04/14 12 UTC: 30.9S/75.3E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2005/04/15 00 UTC: 31.2S/78.1E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.5 ; CI=4.0+
JULIET IS NOW ENDING ITS PARABOLIC TRACK, CURRENTLY MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARDS
. UNDERGOING A RATHER STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR, THE SYSTEM IS
GETTING DISORGANIZED RATHER QUICKLY AND IS STARTING THE
EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING BUT STRONG
WINDS
ARE ABOUT TO E
XTEND GRADUALLY FAR FROM THE CENTRE.=