** WTIO20 FMEE 110618 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 11/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 935 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S / 63.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 190 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/11 AT 18 UTC: 25.5S / 63.5E, MAX WIND = 85 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/12 AT 06 UTC: 27.5S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE OF JULIET IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEN, JULIET IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 110627 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/18/20042005 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/11 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S / 63.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 230 SE: 330 SO: 330 NO: 170 50 KT NE: 170 SE: 180 SO: 110 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 650 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/11 18 UTC: 25.5S/63.5E, MAX WIND=085KT. 24H: 2005/04/12 06 UTC: 27.5S/65.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2005/04/12 18 UTC: 29.1S/67.9E, MAX WIND=065KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/13 06 UTC: 30.1S/72.0E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/13 18 UTC: 30.8S/76.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/14 06 UTC: 31.7S/81.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=5.0+ ; CI=5.5 BEGINNING OF A NORTHNORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARDS, WEAKENING SLOWLY UNDER UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COOLER SST) .= ** WTIO20 FMEE 110618 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 11/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 935 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S / 63.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 190 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/11 AT 18 UTC: 25.5S / 63.5E, MAX WIND = 85 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/12 AT 06 UTC: 27.5S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE OF JULIET IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEN, JULIET IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING GRADUALLY. ** WTIO21 FMEE 110618 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 11/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 024/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 11/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 18 (JULIET) 935 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 23.2S / 63.5E (VINGT-TROIS DEGRES DEUX SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 250 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD ET 200 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90KT ET MER ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 100 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 190 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 11/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 25.5S / 63.5E, VENT MAX = 85 KT. A 24H POUR LE 12/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 27.5S / 65.0E, VENT MAX = 70 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST PREVU POURSUIVRE VERS LE SUD PENDANT ENCORE 12 A 24 HEURES. ENSUITE, LA TRAJECTOIRE DEVRAIT S'ORIENTER VERS LE SUD-EST. LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT CONTINUER A FAIBLIR REGULIEREMENT. ** WTIO30 FMEE 110627 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/18/20042005 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/11 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S / 63.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 230 SE: 330 SO: 330 NO: 170 50 KT NE: 170 SE: 180 SO: 110 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 650 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/11 18 UTC: 25.5S/63.5E, MAX WIND=085KT. 24H: 2005/04/12 06 UTC: 27.5S/65.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2005/04/12 18 UTC: 29.1S/67.9E, MAX WIND=065KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/13 06 UTC: 30.1S/72.0E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/13 18 UTC: 30.8S/76.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/14 06 UTC: 31.7S/81.7E, MAX WIND=065KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=5.0+ ; CI=5.5 BEGINNING OF A NORTHNORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARDS, WEAKENING SLOWLY UNDER UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COOLER SST). . ** WTIN20 DEMS 110640 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK -------------------------------- DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 11-04-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ALSO ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 13.5 DEG. NORTH IN THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTMG20 FMMD 110700 *** BULLETIN MARINE SPECIAL B.M.S. NR 005 / 18 DE FMMDYMYP A 06TU LE 11/ 04 / 05 A 06TU AVIS D'OURAGAN EN COURS CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE JULIET PRESSION : 930 HPA CENTRAE A 06 TU D'APRES METEOSAT DANS UN RAYON DE 20MN AUTOUR DU POINT VINGT TROIS DEGRES DECIMAL SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE TROIS DEGRES DECIMAL SIX EST RPT: 23.6 S / 63.6 E DAPLACEMENT : SUD- SUD-OUEST VITESSE : 10KT Z O N E I N T E R E S S E E : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD ET 200 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90KT ET MER ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST.TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 100 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST.COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD.GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 190 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COMMENTAIRE : AFFAIBLISSEMENT DU SYSTEM HURRICANE WARNING : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE ?JULIET? PRESSURE : 930 HPA CENTRED AT 06 TU ACCORDING TO METEOSAT WITHIN 20 NM AROUND POINT TWENTY THREE DEGREES DECIMAL SIX SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DEGREES DECIMAL SIX EAST. RPT: 23.6 S / 63.6 E MOVEMENT :SOUTH- SOUTH-WESTWARD SPEED : 10 KT I N T E R E S T E D A R E A : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM CHECK TEXT NEW ENDING ADDED ** WTMG20 FMMD 110700 *** BULLETIN MARINE SPECIAL B.M.S. NR 005 / 18 DE FMMDYMYP A 06TU LE 11/ 04 / 05 A 06TU AVIS D'OURAGAN EN COURS CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE JULIET PRESSION : 930 HPA CENTRAE A 06 TU D'APRES METEOSAT DANS UN RAYON DE 20MN AUTOUR DU POINT VINGT TROIS DEGRES DECIMAL SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE TROIS DEGRES DECIMAL SIX EST RPT: 23.6 S / 63.6 E DAPLACEMENT : SUD- SUD-OUEST VITESSE : 10KT Z O N E I N T E R E S S E E : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD ET 200 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90KT ET MER ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST.TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 100 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST.COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD.GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 190 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COMMENTAIRE : AFFAIBLISSEMENT DU SYSTEM HURRICANE WARNING : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE ?JULIET? PRESSURE : 930 HPA CENTRED AT 06 TU ACCORDING TO METEOSAT WITHIN 20 NM AROUND POINT TWENTY THREE DEGREES DECIMAL SIX SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DEGREES DECIMAL SIX EAST. RPT: 23.6 S / 63.6 E MOVEMENT :SOUTH- SOUTH-WESTWARD SPEED : 10 KT I N T E R E S T E D A R E A : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM CHECK TEXT NEW ENDING ADDED= ** WTXS32 PGTW 110900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (ADELINE-JULIET) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 23.4S9 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.7S4 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 28.0S0 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 29.8S9 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 31.4S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 63.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (ADELINE-JULIET), LOCATED APPROX- IMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN 110402Z8 SSM/I IMAGE REVEALS COLD, DRY AIR BEGINNING TO INTRUDE FROM THE NORTHWEST. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2.// ** WTXS32 PGTW 110900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (ADELINE-JULIET) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 23.4S9 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.7S4 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 28.0S0 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 29.8S9 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 31.4S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 63.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (ADELINE-JULIET), LOCATED APPROX- IMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN 110402Z8 SSM/I IMAGE REVEALS COLD, DRY AIR BEGINNING TO INTRUDE FROM THE NORTHWEST. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2.// ** WTXS32 PGTW 110900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (ADELINE-JULIET) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 23.4S9 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.7S4 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 28.0S0 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 29.8S9 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 31.4S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 63.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (ADELINE-JULIET), LOCATED APPROX- IMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN 110402Z8 SSM/I IMAGE REVEALS COLD, DRY AIR BEGINNING TO INTRUDE FROM THE NORTHWEST. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2.// ** WTXS32 PGTW 110900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (ADELINE-JULIET) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 23.4S9 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.7S4 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 28.0S0 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 29.8S9 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 31.4S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 63.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (ADELINE-JULIET), LOCATED APPROX- IMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN 110402Z8 SSM/I IMAGE REVEALS COLD, DRY AIR BEGINNING TO INTRUDE FROM THE NORTHWEST. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2.//