** WTSR20 WSSS 091800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO20 FMEE 100009 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/04/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 10/04/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 905 HPA POSITION: 19.0S / 66.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHENR AND SOUTHERN QUADRANS . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/120 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/10 AT 12 UTC: 20.1S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 115 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/11 AT 00 UTC: 21.8S / 62.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 NEAR 1200UTC, AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 100009 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/18/20042005 1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/10 AT 0000 UTC : 19.0S / 66.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.5/7.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 905 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 120 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 400 SO: 300 NO: 220 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 200 SO: 110 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/10 12 UTC: 20.1S/63.7E, MAX WIND=115KT. 24H: 2005/04/11 00 UTC: 21.8S/62.3E, MAX WIND=110KT. 36H: 2005/04/11 12 UTC: 23.4S/61.7E, MAX WIND=095KT. 48H: 2005/04/12 00 UTC: 25.0S/61.7E, MAX WIND=080KT. 60H: 2005/04/12 12 UTC: 26.1S/62.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2005/04/13 00 UTC: 27.4S/62.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=6.5+. CI=7.0-. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 NEAR 1200UTC, AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.(NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COLDER SST).= ** WTIO30 FMEE 091807 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/18/20042005 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/09 AT 1800 UTC : 18.4S / 67.2E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.5/6.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 910 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 115 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 400 SO: 300 NO: 220 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 200 SO: 110 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/10 06 UTC: 19.6S/64.9E, MAX WIND=120KT. 24H: 2005/04/10 18 UTC: 20.9S/62.9E, MAX WIND=115KT. 36H: 2005/04/11 06 UTC: 22.4S/61.8E, MAX WIND=100KT. 48H: 2005/04/11 18 UTC: 24.0S/61.3E, MAX WIND=085KT. 60H: 2005/04/12 06 UTC: 26.2S/61.4E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2005/04/12 18 UTC: 28.1S/62.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 BETWEEN 1200UTC AND 1800 UTC , AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.(NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COLDER SST). ** WTIO21 FMEE 091806 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 09/04/2005 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 018/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 09/04/2005 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 18 (JULIET) 910 HPA POSITION: 18.4S / 67.2E (DIX-HUIT DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 14 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 140 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 200 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/115 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 180 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 240 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 10/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 19.6S / 64.9E, VENT MAX = 120 KT. A 24H POUR LE 10/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 20.9S / 62.9E, VENT MAX = 115 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ENVIRONNEMENT RESTE FAVORABLE, ET LE SYSTEME EST PREVU S'INTENSIFIER. LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DEPLACER VERS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST ET PASSER A PROXIMITE DE L'ILE RODRIGUES AU SUD-EST DES COTES LE 10/04/05 ENTRE 1200UTC ET 1800UTC. IL DEVRAIT ENSUITE RECOURBER SA TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE SUD-OUEST PUIS VERS LE SUD-SUD-OUEST POUR S'EVACUER VERS DES CONDITIONS PLUS DEFAVORABLE. ** WTIO20 FMEE 091806 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/04/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 09/04/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 910 HPA POSITION: 18.4S / 67.2E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/115 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/10 AT 06 UTC: 19.6S / 64.9E, MAX WIND = 120 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/10 AT 18 UTC: 20.9S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 115 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTEDRAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 BETWEEN 1200UTC AND 1800 UTC , AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. ** WTIO21 FMEE 100009 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 10/04/2005 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 019/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: DIMANCHE 10/04/2005 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL TRES INTENSE 18 (JULIET) 905 HPA POSITION: 19.0S / 66.0E (DIX-NEUF DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 12 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 200 MN DANS LES CADRANS NORD ET SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/120 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 180 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 240 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 10/04/2005 A 12 UTC: 20.1S / 63.7E, VENT MAX = 115 KT. A 24H POUR LE 11/04/2005 A 00 UTC: 21.8S / 62.3E, VENT MAX = 110 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ENVIRONNEMENT RESTE FAVORABLE, ET LE SYSTEME EST PREVU S'INTENSIFIER. LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DEPLACER VERS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST ET PASSER A PROXIMITE DE L'ILE RODRIGUES AU SUD-EST DES COTES LE 10/04/05 VERS 1200UTC. IL DEVRAIT ENSUITE RECOURBER SA TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE SUD-OUEST PUIS VERS LE SUD-SUD-OUEST POUR S'EVACUER VERS DES CONDITIONS PLUS DEFAVORABLE. ** WTIO30 FMEE 100009 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/18/20042005 1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/10 AT 0000 UTC : 19.0S / 66.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.5/7.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 905 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 120 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 400 SO: 300 NO: 220 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 200 SO: 110 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/10 12 UTC: 20.1S/63.7E, MAX WIND=115KT. 24H: 2005/04/11 00 UTC: 21.8S/62.3E, MAX WIND=110KT. 36H: 2005/04/11 12 UTC: 23.4S/61.7E, MAX WIND=095KT. 48H: 2005/04/12 00 UTC: 25.0S/61.7E, MAX WIND=080KT. 60H: 2005/04/12 12 UTC: 26.1S/62.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2005/04/13 00 UTC: 27.4S/62.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=6.5+. CI=7.0-. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 NEAR 1200UTC, AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.(NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COLDER SST). ** WTIO20 FMEE 100009 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/04/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 10/04/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 905 HPA POSITION: 19.0S / 66.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHENR AND SOUTHERN QUADRANS . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/120 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/10 AT 12 UTC: 20.1S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 115 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/11 AT 00 UTC: 21.8S / 62.3E, MAX WIND = 110 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF RODRIGUES ISLAND ON SUNDAY 05/04/10 NEAR 1200UTC, AND THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TO EVACUATE IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.