** WTSR20 WSSS 080600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO20 FMEE 081212 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 08/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 950 HPA POSITION: 16.0S / 75.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 180 NM MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/09 AT 00 UTC: 16.7S / 72.2E, MAX WIND = 85 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/09 AT 12 UTC: 17.4S / 69.4E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AN EYE IS NOW DEPICTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOW TRACKING RAPIDLY MAINLY WESTWARDS, THEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE WEST-SOUTH-WESTWARDS TO PASS NEAR RODRIGUES .= ** WTIO30 FMEE 081213 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/18/20042005 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/08 AT 1200 UTC : 16.0S / 75.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 350 SO: 220 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 110 SO: 080 NO: 070 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/09 00 UTC: 16.7S/72.2E, MAX WIND=085KT. 24H: 2005/04/09 12 UTC: 17.4S/69.4E, MAX WIND=080KT. 36H: 2005/04/10 00 UTC: 18.2S/66.9E, MAX WIND=080KT. 48H: 2005/04/10 12 UTC: 19.0S/64.6E, MAX WIND=080KT. 60H: 2005/04/11 00 UTC: 20.0S/62.3E, MAX WIND=075KT. 72H: 2005/04/11 12 UTC: 21.3S/60.3E, MAX WIND=075KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: AN EYE IS AGAIN DEPICTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOW TRACKING RAPIDLY MAINLY WESTWARDS, THEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE WEST-SOUTH-WESTWARDS APPROACHING RODRIGUES.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 081212 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 08/04/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 950 HPA POSITION: 16.0S / 75.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 180 NM MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/09 AT 00 UTC: 16.7S / 72.2E, MAX WIND = 85 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/09 AT 12 UTC: 17.4S / 69.4E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AN EYE IS NOW DEPICTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOW TRACKING RAPIDLY MAINLY WESTWARDS, THEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE WEST-SOUTH-WESTWARDS TO PASS NEAR RODRIGUES ** WTIO30 FMEE 081213 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/18/20042005 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/08 AT 1200 UTC : 16.0S / 75.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 350 SO: 220 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 100 SE: 110 SO: 080 NO: 070 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/09 00 UTC: 16.7S/72.2E, MAX WIND=085KT. 24H: 2005/04/09 12 UTC: 17.4S/69.4E, MAX WIND=080KT. 36H: 2005/04/10 00 UTC: 18.2S/66.9E, MAX WIND=080KT. 48H: 2005/04/10 12 UTC: 19.0S/64.6E, MAX WIND=080KT. 60H: 2005/04/11 00 UTC: 20.0S/62.3E, MAX WIND=075KT. 72H: 2005/04/11 12 UTC: 21.3S/60.3E, MAX WIND=075KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: AN EYE IS AGAIN DEPICTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOW TRACKING RAPIDLY MAINLY WESTWARDS, THEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MORE WEST-SOUTH-WESTWARDS APPROACHING RODRIGUES. ** WTIO21 FMEE 081212 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 08/04/2005 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 013/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 08/04/2005 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL 18 (JULIET) 950 HPA POSITION: 16.0S / 75.1E (SEIZE DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE-QUINZE DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 15 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 180 MN PRINCIPALEMENT DANS DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE NORD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/80 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 15MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 220 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST .. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 09/04/2005 A 00 UTC: 16.7S / 72.2E, VENT MAX = 85 KT. A 24H POUR LE 09/04/2005 A 12 UTC: 17.4S / 69.4E, VENT MAX = 80 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: UN OEIL EST VISIBLE SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES. CE SYSTEME SUIT ACTUELLEMENT UNE TRAJECTOIRE TRES RAPIDE GLOBALEMENT VERS L'OUEST , ET DEVRAIT INFLECHIR OUEST-SUD-OUEST, EN DIRECTION DE L'ILE RODRIGUES.