** WTIO20 FMEE 070610 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070611 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/18/20042005 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/07 AT 0600 UTC : 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 220 SO: 220 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 090 SE: 110 SO: 110 NO: 090 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/07 18 UTC: 15.2S/80.0E, MAX WIND=080KT. 24H: 2005/04/08 06 UTC: 16.1S/77.5E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2005/04/08 18 UTC: 16.9S/75.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 48H: 2005/04/09 06 UTC: 17.5S/72.5E, MAX WIND=065KT. 60H: 2005/04/09 18 UTC: 18.5S/70.1E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2005/04/10 06 UTC: 19.8S/67.9E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS A CDO PATTERN ON SAT IMAGERY, BUT EYE IS STILL CLEAR ON THE MW SSMI AT 0330Z.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 070637 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 032/17 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FROCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 380 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 600 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRA-TROPICAL, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING QUICKLY SOUTHSOUTHWARDS. MAXIMUM WINDS AREAEXTENDS VERY FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND TO THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070646 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/17/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/07 AT 0600 UTC : 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 400 SE: 700 SO: 700 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 150 SE: 110 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/07 18 UTC: 34.3S/71.0E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/04/08 06 UTC: 36.5S/72.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/04/08 18 UTC: 38.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/09 06 UTC: 39.0S/78.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/09 18 UTC: 40.0S/81.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/10 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS AN EXTRATROPICAL STRUCTURE. WIDE WIND EXTENSIONS CALIBRATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0108Z. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070611 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/18/20042005 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/07 AT 0600 UTC : 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 220 SO: 220 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 090 SE: 110 SO: 110 NO: 090 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/07 18 UTC: 15.2S/80.0E, MAX WIND=080KT. 24H: 2005/04/08 06 UTC: 16.1S/77.5E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2005/04/08 18 UTC: 16.9S/75.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 48H: 2005/04/09 06 UTC: 17.5S/72.5E, MAX WIND=065KT. 60H: 2005/04/09 18 UTC: 18.5S/70.1E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2005/04/10 06 UTC: 19.8S/67.9E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS A CDO PATTERN ON SAT IMAGERY, BUT EYE IS STILL CLEAR ON THE MW SSMI AT 0330Z. ** WTIO21 FMEE 070610 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 008/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (QUATORZE DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-DEUX DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 13 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 220 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 90 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, VENT MAX = 80 KT. A 24H POUR LE 08/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, VENT MAX = 70 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'OEIL A DISPARU SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES AU COURS DE LA NUIT. JULIET POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE OUEST-SUD-OUEST ASSEZ RAPIDE, ET DEVRAIT LA MAINTENIR POUR LES TROIS PROCHAINS JOURS. ** WTIO21 FMEE 070637 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 032/17 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (TRENTE ET UN DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE-NEUF DEGRES HUIT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 18 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 500 MN MN DU CENTRE DANS LE QUDRANT SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET LOCALEMENT JUSQUE 120 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST, JUSQUE 380 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST ET JUSQUE 600 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 160 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 270 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET LOCALEMENT JUSQUE 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 08/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST MAINTENENT EXTRA-TROPICAL, ET POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE RAPIDE VERS LE SUD-SUD-EST. LA ZONE DE VENTS FORTS S'ETEND TRES LOIN DU CENTRE, NOTAMMENT DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES ET DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME. CECI EST LE DERNIER BULLETIN EMIS PAR LE CMRS DE LA REUNION. LE SYSTEME EST DESORMAIS SUIVI PAR LES BULLETINS SMDSM FQIO21, DIFFUSES A 0600Z ET 1700Z. ** WTIO20 FMEE 070610 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. ** WTIO22 FMEE 070637 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 032/17 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FROCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 380 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 600 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRA-TROPICAL, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING QUICKLY SOUTHSOUTHWARDS. MAXIMUM WINDS AREAEXTENDS VERY FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND TO THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z. ** WTIO30 FMEE 070646 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/17/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 2.A POSITION 2005/04/07 AT 0600 UTC : 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 400 SE: 700 SO: 700 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 150 SE: 110 SO: 120 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/04/07 18 UTC: 34.3S/71.0E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/04/08 06 UTC: 36.5S/72.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/04/08 18 UTC: 38.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/04/09 06 UTC: 39.0S/78.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/04/09 18 UTC: 40.0S/81.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/04/10 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS AN EXTRATROPICAL STRUCTURE. WIDE WIND EXTENSIONS CALIBRATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0108Z. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z. ** WTIN20 DEMS 070600 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK -------------------------------- DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 07-04-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL PERSISTS (.) ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LIES OVER SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE ABOVE SYSTEMS(.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 14 DEG. NORTH IN THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTIO20 FMEE 070757 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 070757 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 008/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (QUATORZE DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-DEUX DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 13 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 220 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 90 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, VENT MAX = 80 KT. A 24H POUR LE 08/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, VENT MAX = 70 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'OEIL A DISPARU SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES AU COURS DE LA NUIT. JULIET POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE OUEST-SUD-OUEST ASSEZ RAPIDE, ET DEVRAIT LA MAINTENIR POUR LES TROIS PROCHAINS JOURS. ** WTIO20 FMEE 070803 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 070803 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 008/18 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS D'OURAGAN DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (QUATORZE DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-DEUX DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 13 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQUE 220 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. OURAGAN 65/90 KT ET MER TRES GROSSE A ENORME DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 90 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, VENT MAX = 80 KT. A 24H POUR LE 08/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, VENT MAX = 70 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'OEIL A DISPARU SUR LES IMAGES SATELLITES AU COURS DE LA NUIT. JULIET POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE OUEST-SUD-OUEST ASSEZ RAPIDE, ET DEVRAIT LA MAINTENIR POUR LES TROIS PROCHAINS JOURS. ** WTIO20 FMEE 070803 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. ** WTIO22 FMEE 070809 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 032/17 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FROCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 380 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 600 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRA-TROPICAL, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING QUICKLY SOUTHSOUTHWARDS. MAXIMUM WINDS AREAEXTENDS VERY FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND TO THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 070809 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 032/17 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 07/04/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (TRENTE ET UN DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE-NEUF DEGRES HUIT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 18 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 500 MN MN DU CENTRE DANS LE QUDRANT SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET LOCALEMENT JUSQUE 120 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST, JUSQUE 380 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST ET JUSQUE 600 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 160 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 270 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST ET LOCALEMENT JUSQUE 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/04/2005 A 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 08/04/2005 A 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST MAINTENENT EXTRA-TROPICAL, ET POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE RAPIDE VERS LE SUD-SUD-EST. LA ZONE DE VENTS FORTS S'ETEND TRES LOIN DU CENTRE, NOTAMMENT DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES ET DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME. CECI EST LE DERNIER BULLETIN EMIS PAR LE CMRS DE LA REUNION. LE SYSTEME EST DESORMAIS SUIVI PAR LES BULLETINS SMDSM FQIO21, DIFFUSES A 0600Z ET 1700Z. ** WTIO22 FMEE 070809 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 032/17 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 17 (EX-ISANG) 980 HPA POSITION: 31.5S / 69.8E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FROCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 380 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 600 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 34.3S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 36.5S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRA-TROPICAL, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING QUICKLY SOUTHSOUTHWARDS. MAXIMUM WINDS AREAEXTENDS VERY FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND TO THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. PLEASE NOW REFER TO GMDSS WARNINGS FQIO20, ISSUED AT 0600Z AND 1700Z. ** WTXS32 PGTW 070900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (ADELINE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 14.5S0 82.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 82.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 15.6S2 79.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.6S3 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.7S5 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.1S1 69.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.8S3 81.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (ADELINE-JULIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 725 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080900Z7.// ** WTIO20 FMEE 070757 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/18 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/04/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 18 (JULIET EX-ADELINE) 940 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 82.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTEDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HICH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/04/07 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/04/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE SAT IMAGERY OVER LAST NIGHT. JULIET KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY, AND SHOULD MAINTAINS THIS TRACK OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS.