** WTIO22 FMEE 281807 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/03/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 031/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 28/03/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8S / 65.2E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 80 NM AND 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 360 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/29 AT 06 UTC: 29.6S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/03/29 AT 18 UTC: 31.6S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EX-HENNIE SHOWS NOW AN EXTRATROPICAL STRUCTURE. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS CLEARLY DEFINED NORTHWEST OF THE RESIDUAL CLOUD MASS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 281809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/16/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/28 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8S / 65.2E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 600 SO: 400 NO: 200 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/29 06 UTC: 29.6S/65.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/03/29 18 UTC: 31.6S/66.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/30 06 UTC: 33.0S/67.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/30 18 UTC: 34.7S/69.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/31 06 UTC: 36.1S/71.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 72H: 2005/03/31 18 UTC: 37.4S/73.7E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTEND MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. HENNIE IS EXPECTED TO EVACUATE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH THE NEXT TROUGH . ** WTIO30 FMEE 281809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/16/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/28 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8S / 65.2E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 600 SO: 400 NO: 200 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/29 06 UTC: 29.6S/65.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/03/29 18 UTC: 31.6S/66.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/30 06 UTC: 33.0S/67.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/30 18 UTC: 34.7S/69.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/31 06 UTC: 36.1S/71.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 72H: 2005/03/31 18 UTC: 37.4S/73.7E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTEND MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. HENNIE IS EXPECTED TO EVACUATE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH THE NEXT TROUGH=