** WTIO22 FMEE 271814 ***
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/03/2005
AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 027/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    27/03/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 990 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.0S / 63.5E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES  SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          EAST-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP
TO 450 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS BETWEEN 80 NM
AND
120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 MN IN WESTERN AND EASTERN
SECTORS, AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 60
NM
AND 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN EASTERN AND
WESTERN
 SECTORS, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/03/28 AT 06 UTC:
26.6S / 64.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2005/03/28 AT 18 UTC:
27.7S / 64.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-HENNIE SHOWS NOW AN EXTRATROPICAL STRUCTURE. STRONGEST WINDS ARE
NOW
LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN
SECTOR
DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. LOW LEVEL
CENTRE
 IS CLEARLY DEFINED WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CLOUDS MASS.=


** WTIO30 FMEE 271821 ***

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 26/16/20042005
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16  (EX-HENNIE)

2.A POSITION 2005/03/27 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.0S / 63.5E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 300   SE: 500   SO: 500   NO: 300

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1500
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/03/28 06 UTC: 26.6S/64.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2005/03/28 18 UTC: 27.7S/64.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2005/03/29 06 UTC: 29.0S/65.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2005/03/29 18 UTC: 30.4S/65.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2005/03/30 06 UTC: 32.0S/66.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2005/03/30 18 UTC: 34.0S/67.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTEND
MAINLY IN
 THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH
PRESSURES. WINDS ARE CALIBRATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 1348Z.
LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CICULATION CENTRE IS FULLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE
RESIDUAL CONVECTION THAT WEAKENS GRADUALLY.=