** WTSR20 WSSS 270600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO30 FMEE 271210 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/16/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/27 AT 1200 UTC : 25.9S / 62.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/28 00 UTC: 26.4S/63.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/03/28 12 UTC: 27.0S/63.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/29 00 UTC: 28.4S/63.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/29 12 UTC: 30.2S/64.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/30 00 UTC: 32.2S/65.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/03/30 12 UTC: 33.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS COLLAPSED DURING LAST NIGTH AND HENNIE HAS SLOWNDOWN GENERALLY SOUTHWARDS. THE SYSTEME IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH . THE SYSSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT 36HOURS, WITH HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH THEN EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH THE NEXT TROUGH= ** WTIO22 FMEE 271211 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/03/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 27/03/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 990 HPA POSITION: 25.9S / 62.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 450 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHIN LOCALLY 50KT UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT AND EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/28 AT 00 UTC: 26.4S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/03/28 AT 12 UTC: 27.0S / 63.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS COLLAPSED DURING LAST NIGTH AND HENNIE HAS SLOWNDOWN GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE SYSTEME IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 271212 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/16/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/27 AT 1200 UTC : 25.9S / 62.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/28 00 UTC: 26.4S/63.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/03/28 12 UTC: 27.0S/63.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/29 00 UTC: 28.4S/63.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/29 12 UTC: 30.2S/64.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/30 00 UTC: 32.2S/65.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/03/30 12 UTC: 33.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: HENNIE HAS SLOWNDOWN GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE SYSTEME IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH . THE SYSSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, WITH HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH THEN EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH THE NEXT TROUGH=