** WTIO30 FMEE 270601 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/16/20042005 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/27 AT 0600 UTC : 25.8S / 62.1E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/27 18 UTC: 26.4S/62.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2005/03/28 06 UTC: 27.1S/62.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/28 18 UTC: 28.0S/62.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/29 06 UTC: 29.6S/62.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2005/03/29 18 UTC: 31.1S/64.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2005/03/30 06 UTC: 32.6S/67.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS COLLAPSED DURING LAST NIGTH AND HENNIE HAS SLOWNDOWN GENERALLY SOUTHWARDS. THE SYSTEME IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH . THE SYSSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT 36HOURS, WITH HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH THEN EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH THE NEXT TROUGH= ** WTIO22 FMEE 270601 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/03/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 025/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 27/03/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-HENNIE) 990 HPA POSITION: 25.8S / 62.1E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHIN LOCALLY 50KT UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT AND EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/27 AT 18 UTC: 26.4S / 62.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/03/28 AT 06 UTC: 27.1S / 62.3E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS COLLAPSED DURING LAST NIGTH AND HENNIE HAS SLOWNDOWN GENERALLY SOUTHWARDS. THE SYSTEME IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 270625 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 27-03-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ISOLATED CONCECTIVE CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL. RIDGE-LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 11 DEG NORTH IN THE INDIAN- REGION (.) MSG OVER ????? ** WTXS31 PGTW 270900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 25.7S4 62.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 62.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.3S1 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.8S5 62.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 24S HAS RAPIDLY DISSIPATED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRIOR TO THE COMPLETION OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DISSIPATING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 13 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//