** WTSR20 WSSS 260600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO20 FMEE 261209 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/03/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 26/03/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 986 HPA POSITION: 24.5S / 61.4E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/27 AT 00 UTC: 25.6S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/03/27 AT 12 UTC: 26.8S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: HENNIE UNDERGOES A STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW CLEARLY DEFINED WEST OF THE CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS A AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND WEAKEN. HOWEVER, WINDS REMAIN STRONG FAR FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 261210 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/16/20042005 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/26 AT 1200 UTC : 24.5S / 61.4E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 400 SO: 250 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/27 00 UTC: 25.6S/61.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2005/03/27 12 UTC: 26.8S/61.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/28 00 UTC: 28.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/28 12 UTC: 29.3S/60.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/29 00 UTC: 30.7S/60.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/03/29 12 UTC: 32.5S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- ; CI=3.5-. SYSTEM NOW UNDERGOES A STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND THE CENTRE OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (LLCC) IS NOW CLEARLY DEFINED WEST OF THE CONVECTION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 261210 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/16/20042005 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/26 AT 1200 UTC : 24.5S / 61.4E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 400 SO: 250 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/27 00 UTC: 25.6S/61.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2005/03/27 12 UTC: 26.8S/61.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/28 00 UTC: 28.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/28 12 UTC: 29.3S/60.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/29 00 UTC: 30.7S/60.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/03/29 12 UTC: 32.5S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- ; CI=3.5-. SYSTEM NOW UNDERGOES A STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND THE CENTRE OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (LLCC) IS NOW CLEARLY DEFINED WEST OF THE CONVECTION.