** WTIO20 FMEE 260617 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/03/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 021/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 26/03/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 986 HPA POSITION: 23.8S / 61.1E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 450 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/26 AT 18 UTC: 24.7S / 61.3E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/03/27 AT 06 UTC: 26.0S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: HENNIE SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. NEVERTHELESS, WINDS REMAIN STRONG FAR FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SQUALLY WEATHER IS MAINLY LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 260619 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/16/20042005 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/03/26 AT 0600 UTC : 23.8S / 61.1E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 400 SO: 250 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/03/26 18 UTC: 24.7S/61.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2005/03/27 06 UTC: 26.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2005/03/27 18 UTC: 27.2S/60.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2005/03/28 06 UTC: 28.3S/60.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2005/03/28 18 UTC: 29.5S/60.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2005/03/29 06 UTC: 31.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ; CI=3.5-. SYSTEM UNDERGOES A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION (LLCC) IS CENTRED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. MICROWAVE SSMI IMAGERY AT 0225Z SHOWS LLCC CENTRED 0.75AO WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= ** WTXS31 PGTW 260900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 23.6S1 61.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6S1 61.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.3S9 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.0S7 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.8S3 61.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE pAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS BECOMNG DECOUPLED TO THE SOUTHEAST FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ELONGATION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATES THAT TC 24S CON- TINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 262100Z1.//