** WTXS31 PGTW 252100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 23.1S6 61.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 61.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.6S1 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.3S9 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.4S1 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.2S7 61.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE IS ENTERING AN AREA OF COLD, DRY AIR AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ELONGATION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS BEGUN THE INITIAL STAGES OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO A GALE TO STRONG GALE FORCE CYCLONE WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 AND 262100Z1.// ** WTIO20 FMEE 251807 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/03/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 25/03/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 16 (HENNIE) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S / 60.6E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT .. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/03/26 AT 06 UTC: 23.9S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/03/26 AT 18 UTC: 25.0S / 62.1E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: HENNIE IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS AND KEEPS ON WEAKENING SLOWLY. NEVERTHELESS, WINDS REMAIN STRONG FAR FROM THE CENTER, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITH THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SQUALLY WEATHER IS MAINLY LOCALIZED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. .